SEASONS

The Earth is inclined at an angle of 23.5 degrees with the vertical.  So the rays of the sun are slanted at different angles.  When the rays are more direct, it is warm while when the rays are slanted it is cold.  Around March 21, the Sun is positioned directly over the Equator.  There are exactly 12 hours of daylight and 12 hours of night all over Earth.  This day is called the Vernal Equinox.  Vernal is Spring, and Equinox means equal division.  This is the beginning of Spring in the Northern Hemisphere.  During Spring, the position of the Sun appears to move Northwards, (days in the northern hemisphere last longer) until it reaches 23.5 degrees North  The line on Earth corresponding to 23.5 N is called the Tropic of Cancer.  (Tropic means the turning point). The date is around the 21st of June, and there is maximum amount of daylight.  The Sun momentarily seems to stand still, and so this is called the Summer Solstices.  It is the first day of Summer.  Days now start getting shorter in Summer, as the Sun seems to move South.  Around September 21, the Sun is again over the equator, but now it is the beginning of fall and is called the Autumnal Equinox.  Days and nights are again exactly 12 hours.  In Fall the days in the northern hemisphere continue to become shorter.  Around December 21, the Sun reaches its Southernmost limit, and the day is known as the Winter Solstices (standing still).  The line on Earth is called the Tropic of Capricorn.  Then in Winter, the days in the Northern Hemisphere lengthen until on the next March 21, the Sun is back over the Equator, and the cycle is repeated.  In the Southern hemisphere, the seasons are reversed with Fall commencing on March 21.

Summers are warmer because in Summer, the rays of the Sun strike the Earth at an angle closer to the vertical, while in winter the rays are slanted and strike at an angle closer to the horizontal.    The Earth's orbit around the Sun is elliptical, with the Sun being at one of the foci.  The Sun is at the closest point to Earth on January 4 (Perihelion) (Peri = close, helion = Sun), and furthest on July 5 (Aphelion).  So in the northern hemisphere, the Sun is closer to the Earth in Winter and further away in Winter.  But the difference between Perihelion and aphelion is very small (the orbit is almost a circle) and so this has very little effect on the temperature. For a more concise explanation Seasons
.

Astronomical Theory of Climate
The tilt of the earth relative to its plane of travel about the sun is what causes seasons. The hemisphere "pointing toward" the sun is in summer, while the opposite hemisphere is in winter. The earth makes one full orbit around the sun each year. The northern hemisphere is in summer in the left image, while 6 months later, the southern hemisphere has summer, as in the center image. If the earth's axis were "straight up and down" relative to the orbital plane, as in the right-hand image, there would be no seasons, since every point on the earth would receive the same amount of sun each day of the year.

Changes in the "tilt" of the earth can change the severity of the seasons - more "tilt" means more severe seasons -warmer
summers and colder winters; less "tilt" means less severe seasons - cooler summers and milder winters. The earth wobbles in
space so that its tilt changes between about 22 and 25 degrees on a cycle of about 41,000 years. It is the cool summers which
are thought to allow snow and ice to last from year to year in high latitudes, eventually building up into massive ice sheets. There

are positive feedbacks in the climate system as well, because an earth covered with more snow reflects more of the sun's energy into space, causing additional cooling. In addition, it appears that the amount of Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere falls as ice sheets grow, also adding to the cooling of the climate.

The earth's orbit around the sun is not quite circular, which means that the earth is slightly closer to the sun at some times of the

year than others. The closest approach of the earth to the sun is called perihelion, and it now occurs in January, making northern hemisphere winters slightly milder. This change in timing of perihelion is known as the precession of the equinoxes, and occurs on a period of 22,000 years. 11,000 years ago, perihelion occurred in July, making the seasons more severe than today. The "roundness", or eccentricity, of the earth's orbit varies on cycles of 100,000 and 400,000 years, and this affects how important the timing of perihelion is to the strength of the seasons. The combination of the 41,000 year tilt cycle and the 22,000 year precession cycles, plus the smaller eccentricity signal, affect the relative severity of summer and winter, and are thought to control the growth and retreat of ice sheets. Cool summers in the northern hemisphere, where most of the earth's land mass is located, appear to allow snow and ice to persist to the next winter, allowing the development of large ice sheets over hundreds to thousands of years. Conversely, warmer summers shrink ice sheets by melting more ice than the amount accumulating during the winter.
 What is The Milankovitch Theory? The Milankovitch or astronomical theory of climate change is an explanation for changes in the seasons which result from changes in the earth's orbit around the sun. The theory is named for Serbian astronomer Milutin Milankovitch, who calculated the slow changes in the earth's orbit by careful measurements of the position of the stars, and through equations using the gravitational pull of other planets and stars. He determined that the earth "wobbles" in its orbit. The earth's "tilt" is what causes seasons, and changes in the tilt of the earth change the strength of the seasons. The seasons can also be accentuated or modified by the eccentricity (degree of roundness) of the orbital path around the sun, and the precession effect, the position of the solstices in the annual orbit.

 What does The Milankovitch Theory say about future climate change?  Orbital changes occur over thousands of years, and the climate system may also take thousands of years to respond to orbital forcing. Theory suggests that the primary driver of ice ages is the total summer radiation received in northern latitude zones where major ice sheets have formed in the past, near 65 degrees north. Past ice ages correlate well to 65N summer insolation (Imbrie 1982). Astronomical calculations show that 65N summer insolation should increase gradually over the next 25,000 years, and that no 65N summer insolation declines sufficient to cause an ice age are expected in the next 100,000 years (Hollan 2000).

 References:
 Milankovitch, M. 1920. Theorie Mathematique des Phenomenes Thermiques produits par la
 Radiation Solaire. Gauthier-Villars Paris.

 Milankovitch, M. 1930. Mathematische Klimalehre und Astronomische Theorie der
 Klimaschwankungen, Handbuch der Klimalogie Band 1 Teil A Borntrager Berlin.

 Milankovitch, M. 1941 Kanon der Erdbestrahlungen und seine Anwendung auf das Eiszeitenproblem
 Belgrade.
 (New English Translation, 1998, Canon of Insolation and the Ice Age Problem. With introduction
 and biographical essay by Nikola Pantic. 636 pp. $79.00 Hardbound. Alven Global. ISBN
 86-17-06619-9.)

 Recent Calculations of Earth Orbital Parameters and Insolation by A. Berger are archived at the
 WDC Paleo.

 For more detailed explanations of orbital variations with graphic representations, please see WDC
 Paleo's educational slide set "The Ice Ages".

 See also the "Past Cycles: Ice Age Speculations" section of "The Discovery of Global Warming"
 from the American Institute of Physics for a history of the development of the astronomical theory of
 climate change.

 

     Paleoclimatology Educational Outreach Page

9 September 2003


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